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How We Stubbed Our Toe in The Evolution of S&OP

Supply Chain Shaman

Tight coupling of the supply chain forecast to the financial forecast will improve value. Industries carried on average 32 days more inventory in 2020 than in 2007. (I I give you this evidence in this blog.). Even when I proved that the process was degrading the forecast by 35-60%, companies still clung to a wrong number.

S&OP 195
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2020 Requires Big Wings and Feet

Supply Chain Shaman

This blog post formed in my head as I worked with clients this month. The budget is not sufficient and is often a detrimental input for supply chain forecasting. Why Is the Financial Forecast Not a Good Proxy for a Supply Chain Forecast? There are many reasons why the budget cannot be used as a supply chain forecast.

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Top 2016 Supply Chain Strategy Posts from the Supply Chain Link Blog

Arkieva

Over the past year, the Arkieva Supply Chain Link Blog provided thought leadership and informative posts on supply chain strategy tips, trends, and news. Here is a list of the Top 20 Supply Chain Strategy Blog Posts from 2016. So, as I sit down to write this blog, I wonder what are some of the things that make supply chains excellent?

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Will the Downturn Signal an Upturn?

Supply Chain Shaman

As the markets plummet, it is time to remind ourselves that demand is not a forecast. Traditional forecasting approaches are not adequate in a time of market volatility. In the real world, companies operate with a Mean Absolute Forecast Error of 24-60%, and have a bias of 9-40%. I remember December 2007 like yesterday.

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My Take: E2open Buys Terra Technology

Supply Chain Shaman

The initial software product release name was Real-Time Forecasting. DS replaced rules-based forecast consumption with better math (statistics and pattern recognition). In 2007-2014 Terra added inventory management, multi-tier demand sensing, transportation forecasting, and long-term forecasting.

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Is A Customer-Centric Strategy the Same as Demand-Driven? Outside-In?

Supply Chain Shaman

A Demand-Driven Value Network as defined by AMR Research in 2007: A network that senses demand with minimal latency to drive a near real-time response to shape and translate demand. It is about much, much more than Vendor Managed Inventory (VMI ) or Collaborative Forecasting and Replenishment. Like the Shaman blog?

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Calibration and Sharpness: The Two Independent Aspects of Forecast Quality

BlueYonder

What Is a Good Forecast? Forecasts are like friends: Trust is the most important factor (you don’t ever want your friends to lie to you), but among your trustable friends, you prefer meeting those that tell you the most interesting stories. We want forecasts to be “good,” “accurate,” and “precise.” But what do we mean by that?