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Lifting The Gray Curtain

Supply Chain Shaman

As Allyson presented her story of working for multiple consumer products companies, with very advanced technologies (demand sensing, advanced automation of forecasting, data lakes and descriptive analytics), she spoke of why at the end of the day, the most important technology that she uses is Excel. Lockdowns and Disbelief.

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Will the Downturn Signal an Upturn?

Supply Chain Shaman

As the markets plummet, it is time to remind ourselves that demand is not a forecast. Traditional forecasting approaches are not adequate in a time of market volatility. In the real world, companies operate with a Mean Absolute Forecast Error of 24-60%, and have a bias of 9-40%. I remember December 2007 like yesterday.

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Staying Ahead of Supply Chain Paradigms – LogiSYM September 2020

The Logistics & Supply Chain Management Society

Experts and pundits are forecasting wholesale changes to every industry and every part of life, but only a minority of these forecasts of massive, permanent change will bear out. Others are wishful thinking on the part of ideologically or emotionally motivated forecasters,” writes the firm on their website.

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The Industrial Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis

Logistics Bureau

When leading economists start talking about a drop in manufacturing comparable to the start of the 2007-2008 global financial crisis, you can be sure that the world’s leading industries are in for a torrid few months. Moody’s Investor Service forecasts a drop of 2.5% in vehicle sales worldwide in 2020 due to Coronavirus.

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Top 2016 Supply Chain Strategy Posts from the Supply Chain Link Blog

Arkieva

Three Steps to a Better Statistical Forecast Setup. Arkieva COO – Sujit Singh, outlines three essential steps to better statistical forecasting — simulate, measure, refine. She shared that her business had implemented a statistical forecasting package from one of the leading vendors during the previous year.

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The Transportation Industry Report: Winter 2018-2019

Freight Plus

With 11 out of 12 months of the year reported, the Cass report indicates that the realized contract pricing forecast for 2018 of 6 – 12% is “essentially in the books.”. 2018 is shaping up to be the highest level of production since 2007, and 2019 should be the highest on record.” annually in November but was down 0.5% Costello said. “If

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S&OP, a vision for the future. The expert interview series #7

Supply Chain Trend

However, S&OP has not yet substantially delivered on its ultimate promise of enterprise wide resource management, rolling financial forecasting and strategy deployment. In the last 30 years S&OP improved performance in many businesses. Whatever maturity model or consultancy support companies use, S&OP seems to get stuck.

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