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Avoiding Dead-end Streets As We Build the Future of Supply Chain Planning

Supply Chain Shaman

I forecast this disruption period as the new normal is not over. At the beginning of the pandemic, the forecasted period of disruption of seven-to-eight months. Seasoned supply chain professionals used the mental model from the recession of 2007 as a guidepost.) Forecast Sharing. Sales Forecasting. The Future.

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Supply Chain Performance Declined In the Last Decade. The Question is Why?

Supply Chain Shaman

Rise in Inventories. Less Effective at Inventory Management. Inventories grew twenty days over the decade. Yes, companies held more inventory (measured in days of inventory) in 2019 than at the start of the 2007 recession. Sadly, most of it is the wrong inventory. Despite spending 1.1%

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How We Stubbed Our Toe in The Evolution of S&OP

Supply Chain Shaman

Tight coupling of the supply chain forecast to the financial forecast will improve value. Companies tightly coupling the budget to S&OP have significantly higher inventories and lower growth than their peer group. Industries carried on average 32 days more inventory in 2020 than in 2007. (I Measure it.

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Supply Chain Leaders, Chained to Tradition, Face the Whip

Supply Chain Shaman

The future inventory fire sale. One of my stark realizations this year is that smaller companies are beating larger and often more established companies on growth metrics, inventory turns, operating margin, and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC). (In As they bemoaned the fact that upstream trading partners share dismal forecasts.

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What is Supply Chain Visibility and Why Isn’t It Enough?

Logistics Viewpoints

Because we call it a supply chain for a reason – each link is connected, so if you rattle one link, you rattle the entire chain, as Boeing famously discovered in 2007 when a bolts and screws shortage delayed their Dreamliner. But the opposite is not true – if you optimize one link, you have not optimized the entire supply chain.

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2020 Requires Big Wings and Feet

Supply Chain Shaman

The budget is not sufficient and is often a detrimental input for supply chain forecasting. Why Is the Financial Forecast Not a Good Proxy for a Supply Chain Forecast? There are many reasons why the budget cannot be used as a supply chain forecast. The supply chain forecast is a rolling forecast.

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VTech: A Story of a Supply Chain Leader

Supply Chain Shaman

Inventory Turns. Better performance in inventory turns than the peer group average for the period studied. Orbit Chart of VTech for the Period of 2006-2015 at the Intersection of Operating Margin and Inventory Turns . When we acquired the rights to the ATT product, there were large inventory write-offs. Operating Margin.