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How We Stubbed Our Toe in The Evolution of S&OP

Supply Chain Shaman

Tight coupling of the supply chain forecast to the financial forecast will improve value. Industries carried on average 32 days more inventory in 2020 than in 2007. (I Even when I proved that the process was degrading the forecast by 35-60%, companies still clung to a wrong number. Don’t believe me? Measure it.

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What is Supply Chain Visibility and Why Isn’t It Enough?

Logistics Viewpoints

Because we call it a supply chain for a reason – each link is connected, so if you rattle one link, you rattle the entire chain, as Boeing famously discovered in 2007 when a bolts and screws shortage delayed their Dreamliner. But the opposite is not true – if you optimize one link, you have not optimized the entire supply chain.

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2020 Requires Big Wings and Feet

Supply Chain Shaman

The budget is not sufficient and is often a detrimental input for supply chain forecasting. Why Is the Financial Forecast Not a Good Proxy for a Supply Chain Forecast? There are many reasons why the budget cannot be used as a supply chain forecast. The supply chain forecast is a rolling forecast.

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Will the Downturn Signal an Upturn?

Supply Chain Shaman

As the markets plummet, it is time to remind ourselves that demand is not a forecast. Traditional forecasting approaches are not adequate in a time of market volatility. In the real world, companies operate with a Mean Absolute Forecast Error of 24-60%, and have a bias of 9-40%. I remember December 2007 like yesterday.

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Winning strategies for distributors and manufacturers during an economic downturn

EazyStock

Rapid cost increases, interest rate hikes and reduced demand require more effective inventory management and forecasting attention. What the last recession taught us An article from McKinsey & Company (2022) analyzed the performance of about 40 publicly traded distribution companies during the 2007-2009 recession.

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Calibration and Sharpness: The Two Independent Aspects of Forecast Quality

BlueYonder

What Is a Good Forecast? Forecasts are like friends: Trust is the most important factor (you don’t ever want your friends to lie to you), but among your trustable friends, you prefer meeting those that tell you the most interesting stories. We want forecasts to be “good,” “accurate,” and “precise.”

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COVID-19’s Immediate Impact on the Automotive Supplier Industry

QAD

What’s more, during the great recession of 2007-09, only major automakers like GM and Chrysler got bailouts – this time, many expect suppliers will once again be denied bailouts and be forced into declaring bankruptcy. According to LMC – globally, production is now forecasted to drop to 76.9 from a pre-pandemic forecast of 89.2