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Supply Chain Performance Declined In the Last Decade. The Question is Why?

Supply Chain Shaman

Yes, companies held more inventory (measured in days of inventory) in 2019 than at the start of the 2007 recession. Commercial and operating teams in manufacturing organizations greater than 5B$ in annual revenue were more aligned in 2007, at the beginning of the recession, than in 2020, the start of the pandemic. Alignment Barriers.

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How We Stubbed Our Toe in The Evolution of S&OP

Supply Chain Shaman

I wrote my first report on Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) while sitting on the floor in the Atlanta airport in 2005 when I was an AMR Research analyst. I wrote many reports on airport floors in those days–electrical plugs were just too scarce.) Now I was naive when I wrote the reports at AMR. Measure it.

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Lifting The Gray Curtain

Supply Chain Shaman

As Allyson presented her story of working for multiple consumer products companies, with very advanced technologies (demand sensing, advanced automation of forecasting, data lakes and descriptive analytics), she spoke of why at the end of the day, the most important technology that she uses is Excel. Lockdowns and Disbelief. Rebuilding.

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What is Supply Chain Visibility and Why Isn’t It Enough?

Logistics Viewpoints

According to the Global Supply Chain Disruption and Future Strategies Survey Report, this goal was the top-ranked planned tool investment. Agility relies on having this kind transparency at your fingertips, through concurrent planning, so you aren’t waiting on analysis and a report from a link up or down the chain.

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2020 Requires Big Wings and Feet

Supply Chain Shaman

The budget is not sufficient and is often a detrimental input for supply chain forecasting. Why Is the Financial Forecast Not a Good Proxy for a Supply Chain Forecast? There are many reasons why the budget cannot be used as a supply chain forecast. The budget is for a fiscal year with quarter reporting and updates.

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Will the Downturn Signal an Upturn?

Supply Chain Shaman

As the markets plummet, it is time to remind ourselves that demand is not a forecast. Traditional forecasting approaches are not adequate in a time of market volatility. In the real world, companies operate with a Mean Absolute Forecast Error of 24-60%, and have a bias of 9-40%. I remember December 2007 like yesterday.

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Is Your Supply Chain Ready for the Recession?

Enterra Insights

Alan Rappeport ( @arappeport ) and Jeanna Smialek ( @jeannasmialek ) report, “The International Monetary Fund issued a stark warning about the coronavirus’s economic toll, saying that the world is facing its worst downturn since the Great Depression as shuttered factories, quarantines and national lockdowns cause economic output to collapse.