[PODCAST] Inventory Forecasting Lessons for Improved Supply Chain Network Optimization

Cerasis

Listen to “Inventory Forecasting Lessons for Improved Supply Chain Network Optimization” on Spreaker. The post [PODCAST] Inventory Forecasting Lessons for Improved Supply Chain Network Optimization appeared first on Transportation Management Company | Cerasis.

Why probabilistic forecasting is better for inventory optimization

ToolsGroup

Last month we published a primer on probabilistic forecasting , an alternative to deterministic or ‘single number’ forecasting. Spreadsheets and legacy suites like SAP APO produce top-down aggregated forecasts using a deterministic approach.

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What is Inventory Forecasting & Why your Business needs it?

Arkieva

Inventory Forecasting is the process in which the historical sales data, historical purchasing data, current demand planning, planned production, and distribution resource plan data are used for predicting inventory levels in a future time period. What is Inventory Forecasting & Why your Business needs it?

Probabilistic Forecasting - a Primer

ToolsGroup

An experienced gambler might hedge their bet on multiple outcomes, rather than just the most likely "single number forecast". At ToolsGroup we have been big advocates of probabilistic forecasting (sometimes also known as stochastic forecasting).

Automated Order Processing and Proactive Inventory Management

Speaker: Irina Rosca, Director of Supply Chain Operations, Helix

Organizations need to focus on demand driven supply planning, utilizing real time information on customer orders from all marketplaces (e-commence, Amazon - or other online retailers, and point of sale data from brick and mortar). Focusing on this information once per month during the S&OP meeting is too late for all business units to align. Companies should have seamless integration between order entry, inventory management, forecasting and supply planning models and purchase order status to sense risk, pull levers to mitigate potential risk, and communicate within and outside the organization. This is especially important for new product releases, in store programs or promotions (sales, end caps, PDQ. etc) or online promotions (company run or 3rd party). Depending on total supply chain lead time, not having real time visibility and analysis of this information can significantly affect sales and the bottom line.

How do supply chain professionals rate their demand forecast’s accuracy?

AIMMS

Part I in our series on assessing your Demand Forecasting process. Is your demand forecasting process evolving with the times? Are you satisfied with your level of forecast accuracy? How do professionals rate their demand forecast’s accuracy? .

What Technology are Teams Using to Support Their Demand Forecasting Process?

AIMMS

Part II in our series on assessing your Demand Forecasting process . In Part I of this series , we looked at supply chain professionals’ perception of forecast accuracy and how they see their forecast evolving in the future. review their forecast on a weekly basis. .

Reveal Your Real Inventory Planning and Forecasting Policy by Answering These 10 Questions

The Smart Software

In this blog, we review 10 specific questions you can ask to uncover what’s really happening with the inventory planning and demand forecasting policy at your company.

How Demand Forecasting Helps You Manage Inventory

AFFLINK

As businesses scale, they need to investigate the accuracy of their inventory management and forecasting processes. Demand forecasting goes beyond simple estimates of product demand, looking into complex patterns over time to produce more accurate and timely predictions.

Quantum Inventory Theory?

The Smart Software

The post Quantum Inventory Theory? Physics at the quantum level is quite weird – not at all like what we experience in our usual macroscopic life. Among the oddities are “superposition”, “entanglement”, and “quantum foam.”

Key Questions for a Successful Distribution Network

Speaker: Irina Rosca, Director of Supply Chain Operations, Helix

As we plan for the world of eCommerce and the customer expectation of quick, free shipping, our ability to forecast is turned on its head. This webinar will cover: Strategies for making high-level decisions about your network design and inventory distribution.

Probabilistic Forecasting: Right Fit for Your Business?

Supply Chain Shaman

A Closer Look at Forecasting. Traditionally companies forecast using history (shipments or orders) and applying linear regression to understand the patterns of historical demand using these to estimate future requirements in a time-series format. Understanding Probabilistic Forecasting.

Common Forecasting Myths Debunked – Part 1 – One Forecast is Enough

Logility

This is the first of a series of four posts that will explore common forecasting myths. In supply chain the impact of a single error can quickly derail an entire forecast. Many companies believe that once a forecast is created success will follow throughout the product life cycle.

What’s Your Forecast Accuracy Target for 2017?

ToolsGroup

In 2016, it seemed as if everyone in supply chain was looking to improve their forecasting performance. How much can you realistically expect to improve your forecast accuracy each year? Inventory and CapEx required to support desired service levels.

Accurate Inventory Forecasting, No Crystal Ball Needed

Unleashed

Proper demand forecasting and inventory control can save a company from buying too much or too little of something, which of course avoids expensive overstock scenarios or stockouts. What is demand forecasting? Demand forecasting predicts what customers will buy, how much they will buy, and when they will buy it. Forecasting for success. Knowing where previous predictions have gone wrong or come true will help you define the parameters of your next forecast.

Inventory, inventory, inventory. They’ve all got it – inventory.

Enchange Supply Chain Consultancy

Amongst the many variables in running a Supply Chain, the one certainty in FMCG, Pharmaceutical and Agri businesses is that inventory is solely in the eye of the beholder. FMCG Forecasting & Demand Planning Inventory Management & Stock Control Supply Chain Analytics

Improve Your Inventory Control with Demand Forecasting

Unleashed

Demand forecasting and planning sounds like a complex task requiring input from a team of accountants and economists but, in reality, it’s an easy way to improve your inventory control. In simple terms, demand forecasting uses supply chain information to plan the levels of stock needed to meet expected demand which gives greater inventory control to the supplier. Why forecast demand? Strengthening supplier relationships with demand forecasting.

Multi-echelon inventory optimization vs inventory optimization

ToolsGroup

Editor’s Note: Last year ToolsGroup became Microsoft’s partner for Multi-echelon Inventory Optimization (MEIO) in Industrial accounts. Microsoft and I collaborated on a blog introducing the basic concept of MEIO, comparing it with Inventory Optimization. Inventory Optimization

Inventory Can Be Scary

ToolsGroup

“Your inventory problem is scary because you’re selling out before you can make new items to meet demand”. Many retailers agree that inventory can be scary. Inventory distortion” (the combined cost of out-of -stocks and overstocks) accounts for $1.1

Building a Business Case for Improved Demand Forecasting

ToolsGroup

I’ve always maintained that improving demand forecast accuracy, as helpful as it can be, shouldn’t be the end goal itself, but simply a means to the end. Gartner says that you shouldn’t just pitch forecast accuracy to your executive management, but translate your plan into business metrics.

What’s Your Forecast Accuracy Target for 2019?

ToolsGroup

Editor’s Note: Two years ago we posted a blog about how to set an annual forecast accuracy target and it was one of our most popular topics. Many companies have already started their 2019 planning and budgeting cycles, so if you are in charge of demand forecasting for your company, it’s about time to thinking about your organization's 2019 goals. It seems as if everyone is looking to improve their forecasting performance. Forecasting Demand and Analytics

Myth of Straight-line Forecast

Vanguard Software

In the absence of real patterns, the best forecast is a straight line. Sales Forecasting Integrated Business Planning (IBP) Inventory Optimization Sales & Operations Planning Supply ChainSometimes variability in exhibits a trend or pattern and sometimes it is just “noise.”

Trade promotion forecasting: the present and the near future

ToolsGroup

Trade promotion forecasting is difficult: getting it right involves factoring in many variables. Forecasting demand data, not so much. To do this, the first hurdle is creating a good statistical baseline forecast.

Probabilistic Forecasting Can Extend the Life of SAP APO

ToolsGroup

Since the beginning of time – OK, since the beginning of demand forecasting the standard approach has been a single number forecast that works relatively well with stable high volume demand. Machine learning can refine the forecast by crunching external data.

Why SAP APO Can’t Forecast Demand in Complex Environments

ToolsGroup

SAP APO is not equipped to address today’s supply chain challenges and that makes demand forecasting and supply chain planning more cumbersome and off target with APO or similar tools. APO’s“Top-Down” Demand Forecasting. Finally, ‘noise’ is not forecastable.

Seven Recent Trends in Retail Demand Forecasting and Replenishment

ToolsGroup

So it’s not surprising that many are looking for more accurate demand forecasting and intelligent stock replenishment. In a report entitled Market Guide for Retail Forecasting and Replenishment Solutions , Gartner analyst Mike Griswold spotlights seven recent trends in this area.

Why You Should Embrace Uncertainty in Demand Forecasting

ToolsGroup

This explains also why supply chain planners struggle to improve their forecasts and end up hitting a ceiling. The increase of demand volatility in today’s markets explains why supply chain leaders tend to believe that their primary supply chain problem is forecast accuracy.

Multi-echelon inventory optimization vs inventory optimization

ToolsGroup

Editor’s Note: Last year ToolsGroup became Microsoft’s partner for Multi-echelon Inventory Optimization (MEIO) in Industrial accounts. Microsoft and I collaborated on a blog introducing the basic concept of MEIO, comparing it with Inventory Optimization. Inventory Optimization

Forecasting and Demand Planning for a Better, Unified Future

Logility

Year after year, survey after survey, forecast accuracy continues to be one of the top metrics for measuring supply chain performance. That is very powerful; one forecast to drive the business forward. “. Watch: When Planning for Forecast Accuracy, Visibility is in Demand.).

Simplify Supply Chain Forecasting

Logility

Is 100% forecast accuracy attainable? Anyone that has ever had to forecast demand for products or services knows that obtaining a consistently high forecast accuracy is part science and part magic. Clearly, forecast accuracy is very important.

Stop Leaking Money with Manual Inventory Controls

The Smart Software

An inventory professional who is responsible for 10,000 items has 10,000 things to stress over every day. The post Stop Leaking Money with Manual Inventory Controls appeared first on Smart Software.

Forecasting the Long Tail and Intermittent Demand

ToolsGroup

Forecasting demand in the long tail is much different than in the head. Companies are dealing with more slow moving items with unpredictable demand patterns, which is making demand forecasting and inventory management more difficult. Inventory mixes become wrong.

Gaining Clarity on Inventory Effectiveness

Supply Chain Shaman

The impact of complexity on inventory is not quick. To help, today I want to share some of the insights from our recent Inventory Optimization study. Inventory management is a hot issue. Companies invest in project after project, yet inventory levels remain the same.

Why CPG Demand Forecasting Has Hit a Ceiling

ToolsGroup

Most CPG companies have hit a demand forecasting ceiling. And complexity creates a challenge of how to forecast accurately when faced with new items, new channels and demand shaping. Many CPG companies are at a loss on what to work on to improve these forecasts.

Top 7 Benefits of System driven Inventory Projections

Arkieva

Scientific and system-driven Inventory Projection facilitates a quick decision-making process and enables a prompt analysis of alternative what-if scenarios. The following are the top 7 benefits of system driven inventory projection.