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Will the Downturn Signal an Upturn?

Supply Chain Shaman

As the markets plummet, it is time to remind ourselves that demand is not a forecast. Traditional forecasting approaches are not adequate in a time of market volatility. In the real world, companies operate with a Mean Absolute Forecast Error of 24-60%, and have a bias of 9-40%. I remember December 2007 like yesterday.

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Four Strategies To Deploy As Supply Chain Hits Main Street

Supply Chain Shaman

My forecast? When the recession of 2019-2020 happens, the whiplash will be higher than the 2007 recession. Most are clueless about driving a better-planned order flow from tactical planning to procurement or transportation planning or how to improve forecast-value-added (FVA) processes. Our supply chains are weaker at planning.