Remove 2007 Remove Books Remove Forecasting Remove Sourcing
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2020 Requires Big Wings and Feet

Supply Chain Shaman

The budget is not sufficient and is often a detrimental input for supply chain forecasting. Why Is the Financial Forecast Not a Good Proxy for a Supply Chain Forecast? There are many reasons why the budget cannot be used as a supply chain forecast. The supply chain forecast is a rolling forecast.

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VTech: A Story of a Supply Chain Leader

Supply Chain Shaman

Price to Tangible Book Value. VTech drove significant improvement in operating margin through the recession of 2007-2009 and then drove improvement in both inventory margin and operating margin for the period of 2010-2012 with some regression in the period of 2013-2015. We first throw out the outliers in the (PTBV) calculation.

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Will the Downturn Signal an Upturn?

Supply Chain Shaman

As the markets plummet, it is time to remind ourselves that demand is not a forecast. Traditional forecasting approaches are not adequate in a time of market volatility. In the real world, companies operate with a Mean Absolute Forecast Error of 24-60%, and have a bias of 9-40%. I remember December 2007 like yesterday.

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My Take: E2open Buys Terra Technology

Supply Chain Shaman

The initial software product release name was Real-Time Forecasting. DS replaced rules-based forecast consumption with better math (statistics and pattern recognition). In 2007-2014 Terra added inventory management, multi-tier demand sensing, transportation forecasting, and long-term forecasting.

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Is A Customer-Centric Strategy the Same as Demand-Driven? Outside-In?

Supply Chain Shaman

A Demand-Driven Value Network as defined by AMR Research in 2007: A network that senses demand with minimal latency to drive a near real-time response to shape and translate demand. It is about much, much more than Vendor Managed Inventory (VMI ) or Collaborative Forecasting and Replenishment. Market-Driven Processes. Demand Sensing.

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Four Strategies To Deploy As Supply Chain Hits Main Street

Supply Chain Shaman

My forecast? When the recession of 2019-2020 happens, the whiplash will be higher than the 2007 recession. As I sign into the front desk-after-front desk at manufacturers, and open the signature book, I notice a large number of system integrators diligently working on the implementation of traditional enterprise technologies.

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Building Outside-In Processes

Supply Chain Shaman

While traditional supply chain processes evolved from functional excellence definitions for source, make and deliver from the inside-out; to make the digital pivot and become more market-driven, companies need to define new supply chain processes outside-in. 2) Market-Driven Forecasting. Demand latency has grown. Reduce latency.