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Supply Chain Performance Declined In the Last Decade. The Question is Why?

Supply Chain Shaman

Yes, companies held more inventory (measured in days of inventory) in 2019 than at the start of the 2007 recession. Commercial and operating teams in manufacturing organizations greater than 5B$ in annual revenue were more aligned in 2007, at the beginning of the recession, than in 2020, the start of the pandemic. Mistake #4.

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How We Stubbed Our Toe in The Evolution of S&OP

Supply Chain Shaman

At the time, I was fascinated how the most mature teams bucked the system. Tight coupling of the supply chain forecast to the financial forecast will improve value. Demand latency is two-eight weeks delayed from consumption purchase to translate to an order. Sales and Operations Maturity Model from 2005-2008. Measure it.

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Lifting The Gray Curtain

Supply Chain Shaman

As Allyson presented her story of working for multiple consumer products companies, with very advanced technologies (demand sensing, advanced automation of forecasting, data lakes and descriptive analytics), she spoke of why at the end of the day, the most important technology that she uses is Excel. Lockdowns and Disbelief.

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My Take: E2open Buys Terra Technology

Supply Chain Shaman

As an analyst in the supply chain market for 15 years, I have written many articles on best-of-breed technology companies purchased by a larger company. The initial software product release name was Real-Time Forecasting. DS replaced rules-based forecast consumption with better math (statistics and pattern recognition).

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2020 Requires Big Wings and Feet

Supply Chain Shaman

The focus is on the role of supply chain finance in driving supply chain excellence. The design of the conference includes tours of several modern warehouses and centers of excellence. The supply chain is a complex non-linear system. The budget is not sufficient and is often a detrimental input for supply chain forecasting.

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Building Outside-In Processes

Supply Chain Shaman

While traditional supply chain processes evolved from functional excellence definitions for source, make and deliver from the inside-out; to make the digital pivot and become more market-driven, companies need to define new supply chain processes outside-in. For example, should customer sentiment data feed into quality systems?

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Will the Downturn Signal an Upturn?

Supply Chain Shaman

As the markets plummet, it is time to remind ourselves that demand is not a forecast. Traditional forecasting approaches are not adequate in a time of market volatility. In the real world, companies operate with a Mean Absolute Forecast Error of 24-60%, and have a bias of 9-40%. I remember December 2007 like yesterday.