Remove 2007 Remove Forecasting Remove Metrics Remove Sourcing
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How We Stubbed Our Toe in The Evolution of S&OP

Supply Chain Shaman

Orchestration enables companies to effectively manage trade-offs between source, make, deliver and sell.) Tight coupling of the supply chain forecast to the financial forecast will improve value. Industries carried on average 32 days more inventory in 2020 than in 2007. (I We source this data from Y charts.

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2020 Requires Big Wings and Feet

Supply Chain Shaman

The budget is not sufficient and is often a detrimental input for supply chain forecasting. Why Is the Financial Forecast Not a Good Proxy for a Supply Chain Forecast? There are many reasons why the budget cannot be used as a supply chain forecast. The supply chain forecast is a rolling forecast.

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Will the Downturn Signal an Upturn?

Supply Chain Shaman

As the markets plummet, it is time to remind ourselves that demand is not a forecast. Traditional forecasting approaches are not adequate in a time of market volatility. In the real world, companies operate with a Mean Absolute Forecast Error of 24-60%, and have a bias of 9-40%. I remember December 2007 like yesterday.

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My Take: E2open Buys Terra Technology

Supply Chain Shaman

The initial software product release name was Real-Time Forecasting. DS replaced rules-based forecast consumption with better math (statistics and pattern recognition). In 2007-2014 Terra added inventory management, multi-tier demand sensing, transportation forecasting, and long-term forecasting.

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Building Outside-In Processes

Supply Chain Shaman

While traditional supply chain processes evolved from functional excellence definitions for source, make and deliver from the inside-out; to make the digital pivot and become more market-driven, companies need to define new supply chain processes outside-in. 2) Market-Driven Forecasting. Demand latency has grown. Reduce latency.

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Is A Customer-Centric Strategy the Same as Demand-Driven? Outside-In?

Supply Chain Shaman

A Demand-Driven Value Network as defined by AMR Research in 2007: A network that senses demand with minimal latency to drive a near real-time response to shape and translate demand. It is about much, much more than Vendor Managed Inventory (VMI ) or Collaborative Forecasting and Replenishment. Market-Driven Processes. Demand Sensing.

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It Ain’t Easy Being Easy!

Supply Chain Insights

It hasn’t been too long ago that a typical consumer products manufacturer rep would replicate last year’s plan, make any adjustments for an account’s expanded stores, new markets, or new product launches, and dub it the new current year forecast. These guys were great at what they did. It was a tedious effort, but, overall, rather easy.