article thumbnail

Will the Downturn Signal an Upturn?

Supply Chain Shaman

As the markets plummet, it is time to remind ourselves that demand is not a forecast. Traditional forecasting approaches are not adequate in a time of market volatility. In the real world, companies operate with a Mean Absolute Forecast Error of 24-60%, and have a bias of 9-40%. I remember December 2007 like yesterday.

article thumbnail

Inflation is Back Up – Are you Ready?

Herlitz Inventory Management

Forecast: Core rate 1.4% Tech bubble burst. Bush tax cut, 9/11 attacks. War on Terror. Katrina, Bankruptcy Act. Bernanke became Fed Chair. Bank crisis. Financial crisis. ACA, Dodd-Frank Act. Debt ceiling crisis. Deflation in oil and gas prices. Core inflation rate 1.7%. Core rate 2.2%. Core rate 2.3%. Impact of COVID. source: thebalance.com.

Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Top 2016 Supply Chain Strategy Posts from the Supply Chain Link Blog

Arkieva

Three Steps to a Better Statistical Forecast Setup. Arkieva COO – Sujit Singh, outlines three essential steps to better statistical forecasting — simulate, measure, refine. She shared that her business had implemented a statistical forecasting package from one of the leading vendors during the previous year.

article thumbnail

How Can We Heal the Global Supply Chain?

Supply Chain Shaman

In my work tonight, I carefully studied 2006-2015 financial results to select the Supply Chains to Admire winners. Higher percentage of growth than the industry average for the period of 2006-2015. Greater margin performance than the industry average for the peer group for the period of 2006-2015. Operating Margin.

article thumbnail

VTech: A Story of a Supply Chain Leader

Supply Chain Shaman

I followed his journey during the period of 2006-2011, and wanted to check in with him to gain his insights on the selection of VTech as a finalist in the Supply Chains to Admire research. Orbit Chart of VTech for the Period of 2006-2015 at the Intersection of Operating Margin and Inventory Turns . We were very open to change.

article thumbnail

Supply Chain Management:SAP acquired Ariba, what does it mean.

Infosys Supply Chain Management

That said, the "Ariba on the bid block" has been now a since-2006 story ever since Oracle kicked up some serious acquisition dust during the Peoplesoft, JD Edwards, Siebel years. Supply Chain Planning & Forecasting (59). Enterprise Asset Management: IT Asset Management (57). Generic SCM (130). Multi-Channel Selling & Fulfillment (76).

article thumbnail

Ecommerce Venture Capital Trends: Which VCs & Seed Investors are Investing in Ecommerce?

ShipBob

It has been forecasted that by 2040, approximately 95% of all purchases will be facilitated by ecommerce. It was the world’s largest VC firm in 2007 with over $20 million in assets during the year. Founded in 2006, this firm is slightly newer in comparison to others. Greycroft Partners.

Trends 105