2007 Definition Forecasting Manufacturing 
Supply Chain Shaman
SEPTEMBER 22, 2022
” Let’s start with a definition. I forecast this disruption period as the new normal is not over. At the beginning of the pandemic, the forecasted period of disruption of seven-to-eight months. Seasoned supply chain professionals used the mental model from the recession of 2007 as a guidepost.)
Supply Chain Shaman
APRIL 9, 2021
of revenue on information technology (IT), only six percent of manufacturers drove performance at the intersection of growth and margin. Yes, companies held more inventory (measured in days of inventory) in 2019 than at the start of the 2007 recession. ” This lack of definition limited the success of planning technologies.
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Supply Chain Shaman
FEBRUARY 14, 2022
Notice how the water turns from blue to brown in Figure 3 with the lack of demand translation capabilities within the enterprise for manufacturing and logistics. Tight coupling of the supply chain forecast to the financial forecast will improve value. Industries carried on average 32 days more inventory in 2020 than in 2007. (I
Supply Chain Shaman
SEPTEMBER 22, 2021
As Allyson presented her story of working for multiple consumer products companies, with very advanced technologies (demand sensing, advanced automation of forecasting, data lakes and descriptive analytics), she spoke of why at the end of the day, the most important technology that she uses is Excel. Lockdowns and Disbelief.
Supply Chain Shaman
OCTOBER 8, 2019
The number one question that I am asked today by manufacturers across all industries is “How can I improve customer service?” The budget is not sufficient and is often a detrimental input for supply chain forecasting. Why Is the Financial Forecast Not a Good Proxy for a Supply Chain Forecast? Background. Bias and error.
Supply Chain Shaman
SEPTEMBER 10, 2017
Public markets reward growth, and the average growth for companies for the period of 2011-2016 was 1/3 the rate of growth for the period of 1986-2007. At the Supply Chain Insights Global Summit last week, Gita Gopinath, Harvard University economist forecasted worldwide global growth at 3.6%, but only 1.9% Trade is tougher.
Supply Chain Shaman
MAY 30, 2019
Meanwhile, turbulence is the norm for manufacturing supply chains. The chemical industry is the first to feel a recession, and the early travel freezes is a definite caution flag. My forecast? When the recession of 2019-2020 happens, the whiplash will be higher than the 2007 recession. I watch in amusement.
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