This site uses cookies to improve your experience. To help us insure we adhere to various privacy regulations, please select your country/region of residence. If you do not select a country, we will assume you are from the United States. Select your Cookie Settings or view our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use.
Cookie Settings
Cookies and similar technologies are used on this website for proper function of the website, for tracking performance analytics and for marketing purposes. We and some of our third-party providers may use cookie data for various purposes. Please review the cookie settings below and choose your preference.
Used for the proper function of the website
Used for monitoring website traffic and interactions
Cookie Settings
Cookies and similar technologies are used on this website for proper function of the website, for tracking performance analytics and for marketing purposes. We and some of our third-party providers may use cookie data for various purposes. Please review the cookie settings below and choose your preference.
Strictly Necessary: Used for the proper function of the website
Performance/Analytics: Used for monitoring website traffic and interactions
In the fast-paced world of modern supply chains, traditional forecasting methods fall short. Probabilistic forecasting is revolutionizing demand forecasting, supply planning, and inventory optimization by significantly improving forecast accuracy and decision-making across distribution networks.
If you’re managing inventory with spreadsheets , you’re not alone—but you might be falling behind. While Excel has long been a go-to for planners, the landscape has changed. In this dynamic environment, inventory management powered by spreadsheets is no longer a viable strategy. But familiarity doesn’t equal effectiveness.
Compared to peer group performance for 2013-2023, 59% of the Gartner Top 25 score below their peer group on average revenue growth, 41% below inventory turns, and 41% below their sector on invested capital. I observe that organizations are unclear on outcomes and the definition of supply chain excellence. The reason? Your next step?
When it comes to running a company, when things break down executives have traditionally said “we need to improve our forecasting!” Would better forecasting accuracy be a good thing? Unfortunately, most companies cannot, and will never be able to, consistently rely on highly accurate forecasts. Absolutely! This increases sales.
In my first classes, I taught the group how to speak the language of demand—forecastability, Forecast Value Added (FVA), backcasting, demand and market latency, and market drivers. We explore the concept of holistic inventory strategies focused on the form and function of inventory. Instead, we need to Jump. The So What?
In May 2025, one in seven home-purchase agreements fell through resulting in the cancellation of 56,000 purchase contracts. Each organization has multiple demand streams with different characteristics–forecastability, demand latency, and bias. Most companies forecast a single stream with a focus on error.
Demand forecasting plays a crucial role in business success, as it helps predict customer demand and plan inventory effectively. However, traditional forecasting methods often fall short in accuracy. With the advent of artificial intelligence, demand forecasting has undergone a significant transformation.”
Clear operating strategy and definition of supply chain excellence across plan, source, make and deliver. Most companies buy decision support technology, but do not redefine work to improve decisions. I like the use of growth, margin, inventory turns, Return on Invested Capital, customer service and ESG metrics. Drives Value.
Reason #4 Making key decisions by modelling the supply chain in Excel. Reason #6 Not effectively managing inventory. That got me thinking about why I was throwing away what had been perfectly good food; I had forecasted needing a certain amount, but the customers (my family) didn’t take what I’d forecasted.
In follow-up qualitative interviews, one of the largest issues with organizational alignment was metric definition and a clear definition of supply chain excellence. To manage continuous improvement, companies need a clear definition of excellence and organizational alignment to that goal. They do not excel in planning or forecasting.
Each executive has a different perspective on the definition of supply chain excellence, but they are never discussed and aligned. His organization purchased an advanced planning technology from well-known best of breed provider, and the implementation should have been successful, but it was not. What Is The Ring of Fire?
Expand the “FLOW” program for logistics information sharing to forecast transportation flow. If businesses cannot accurately forecast revenue, the organization is not resilient. I am currently doing research on inventory management. In the research, I ask inventory planners to define resilience. My conclusion?
The agency, responsible for tracking weather systems and issuing life-saving alerts, is struggling to staff its forecasting offices. The answer lies in embracing automation, AI-driven forecasting in supply chain planning software , and new planning paradigms that transform how work gets done.
Leveling up your inventory life cycle can be crucial, but keeping all the fundamental factors jumping is essential to let the life cycle evolve. However, if the life cycle stock is healthy, inventory management is smooth. Inventory management revolves around the pivotal concept of the product life cycle. Click here!
Richard Lebovitz and Joe Lynch discuss leading inventory attack teams. Richard is the CEO of LeanDNA , a purpose-built analytics platform for factory inventory optimization. About Richard Lebovitz Richard Lebovitz is the CEO of LeanDNA , a purpose-built analytics platform for factory inventory optimization. The Greenscreens.ai
Given your expertise, I’d love to hear what alternatives you recommend for better demand forecasting and real-time visibility beyond what’s commonly adopted today.” If S&OP efforts were that effective, don’t you think that we would have made more progress against inventory levels, margin, and growth?
Consumers want to shop anywhere, and buy in the way that they want to buy. Current State of Perpetual Inventory. Replenishment is fueled by an effective perpetual inventory signal. Without a perpetual inventory signal, you will never be able to manage out-of-stocks and promot ions. Get Good at Data Sharing.
You never really know how it will all turn out, yet you need to be able to answer questions like these: How many units of inventory do you need to have on hand to be at full stock for each SKU? How often do you project to replenish inventory ? Forecasting projections is one of the toughest things to get right. That’s fine!
You’re juggling production schedules, managing inventory, keeping an eye on finances, and making sure everything runs smoothly on the shop floor. Think of it as the central nervous system of your operation, connecting everything from production planning and inventory control to supply chain management and financial reporting.
Nick Lynch is the Global Excellence Manager at Shell Lubricants, a division of Shell Global. The Company implemented SAP Advanced Planner and Optimizer (APO) including the standard functionality of Demand Planning (DP), Supply Network Planning (SNP), and Production Planning and Detailed Scheduling (PPDS), yet many planners also used Excel.
The classical approach involves functional silos, sequential decisions, and Excel and people to render a plan executable. CPG companies that utilize an autonomous supply chain technology see a reduction in their inventory and cost and an increase in revenue. each with discrete plans generated typically in sequential batch runs.
Demand forecasting is done in collaboration with OEM customers. This forecast provides a starting point for creating production and logistics plans to serve the OEM market. Therefore, their integrated business planning process needed to create point-of-consumption SKU forecasts across a 10 to 12 year planning horizon!
Millions of shoppers, like my Dad, are not going back to their old habits because there are now faster and more convenient ways for buying daily household needs. It excels on a union of E-Commerce mobile apps and last-mile delivery innovations. Inventory Optimization. Crowdsourcing of Drivers and Rider Forecasting.
From raw material procurement to final product sales, these supply chains’ ability to minimize inventory through product life cycle controls and facilitate prompt product supply is every bit as important as product differentiation strategies. The establishment of efficient global supply chains has become critical to competitiveness.
Production schedulers and planners work every day to balance limited labor, materials, production time, and availability of machines and tools against forecasted demand, customer orders, and the backlog. Forecasting and Production Planning for greater accuracy. Master Production Schedule (MPS) drives solid production plans.
Supplier problems will cause a cascade of problems up and down the value stream, leading to supply order delays that cause inventory shortages, production disruptions, missed shipments and lost revenue. Establishing real-time shared visibility and processes with supply chain partners facilitates identification and resolution of issues.
similarly, over 95% of manufacturers invested and implemented supply chain planning, but their primary tool today is Excel. How does the plan tie to the balanced scorecard of growth, inventory health, operating margin, customer service, and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)? ” Does the Dog Hunt? Future for Probabilistic Planning?
Definition: Financial forecasting is a projection of the company's future financial performance based on historical data, market research, and business needs. The forecasts act as a guide, which you can use to make strategic decisions on resource allocation and define clear, attainable goals.
Manufactures are continuously faced with the challenge of forecasting how much (raw material) to purchase and how much (finished goods) to produce. To manage this delicate balance of demand and supply, manufacturers often use statistical forecasting techniques to predict future demand by looking at historical sales data.
In the warehouse context, a digital twin can be created to represent the physical layout, inventory, equipment, and workflows of a warehouse. Inventory management Another area where digital twins can be beneficial is inventory management. Simulation is the most widely used benefit of a digital twin.
At the end of a long day of a strategy session on supply chain excellence with a client, I needed to fill up some time in an agenda. This large food manufacturer used a popular technology to forecast monthly using orders as an input. The strategy day owner was a global process center of excellence leader. The result? Background.
Today, their functionality has increased, and businesses are leveraging CRM systems for demand forecasting, buyer behavior analysis, and more intelligent inventory management. This real-time visibility translates into faster issue resolution, enhanced forecasting, and vendor coordination. Check out this course by Vera Rozanova!
Inventory is the lifeblood of any manufacturing business. By leveraging analytics and key performance indicators (KPIs), manufacturers can optimize inventory, reduce waste, and boost profitability. Tracking inventory flow and performance across your supply chain is a must. Thats where data-driven decision-making comes in!
The MVP (Minimum Viable Product) version, set up to go live in multiple countries within three months, involves Demand Planners, Supply Planners, and Inventory Controllers with different access rights to monitor system-generated results. They can adjust quantities and generate supplier replenishment orders in PDF or Excel as needed.
So should the purchasing process. . RFIs tend to work well for certain industries (like government) or for purchasing equipment and industrial assets, bu t t hey often fall short in helping supply chain teams select a new software vendor. There is valuable time and effort put in by both the supplier and the purchasing party.
By maximizing space utilization, improving inventory control , and boosting workflow efficiency, you can unlock significant cost savings and elevate your customer service game. Essential technology solutions, including Warehouse Management Systems (WMS), Inventory Management Systems (IMS), and the transformative power of IoT and automation.
<Bear with me… > Here I share a nine-step process in an attempt to help companies unravel the process for buying supply chain planning software. They center on how to make a good decision in the purchase of supply chain planning solutions. Most have purchased software, but are dependent on Excel spreadsheets.
Demand volatility and forecasting complexity The shift to cloud-based environments and the rise of XaaS models are significantly complicating demand forecasting. Inaccurate forecasts lead to either excess inventory or stockouts, causing increased costs, an abundance of stock that cannot be sold, lost sales and customer dissatisfaction.
With slim margins and ever-increasing inventories, companies invested less in capital assets. Today, this network operates with less capacity and ballooning inventories. As product complexity increased, item forecastability decreased, and companies chased cost reduction. Customer Service.
In the automotive sector, manufacturers are simultaneously reducing inventory costs and delivery times. An efficient procurement process optimizes vendor selection and purchasing decisions to maintain cost-effective inventory levels. Let’s break down these key components: Procurement: This is where it all begins.
As Raheel Hussain, Director of the Supply Chain Center of Excellence at Reynolds Consumer Products notes during a recent webinar , a level of synchronization is critical to systemically share information and cut down the constant offline back-and-forth (conversations) between different functions.
We were discussing the results of the planning benchmarking work that we have just finished, and I was sharing some insights on inventory management when one of the panelists emphatically stated, “Inventory is a waste to manage. We feel so strongly about this that we do not have an inventory planning role.”
Excess inventory – it’s taking up your warehouse space, tying up working capital, and limiting your planning team’s range of motion. It’s time to Marie Kondo your supply chain by eliminating excess inventory and learning how to avoid it in the first place. Let’s talk about: What Excess Inventory Is. What Causes Excess Inventory.
We organize all of the trending information in your field so you don't have to. Join 102,000+ users and stay up to date on the latest articles your peers are reading.
You know about us, now we want to get to know you!
Let's personalize your content
Let's get even more personalized
We recognize your account from another site in our network, please click 'Send Email' below to continue with verifying your account and setting a password.
Let's personalize your content