Remove Eliminating Excel in Purchasing Remove Forecasting Remove Procurement
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Probabilistic Forecasting: The Future of Supply Chain Planning

ToolsGroup

In the fast-paced world of modern supply chains, traditional forecasting methods fall short. Probabilistic forecasting is revolutionizing demand forecasting, supply planning, and inventory optimization by significantly improving forecast accuracy and decision-making across distribution networks.

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How Can You Improve Value in Your Supply Chain?

Supply Chain Shaman

For example, if I improve the cost structure in transportation, procurement, manufacturing and sales independently, what decision support framework decides the right trade-offs? I observe that organizations are unclear on outcomes and the definition of supply chain excellence. Supply chain excellence should be about driving value.

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Reinventing Supply Chains: Focus on Human Factors

Supply Chain Shaman

In May 2025, one in seven home-purchase agreements fell through resulting in the cancellation of 56,000 purchase contracts. Each organization has multiple demand streams with different characteristics–forecastability, demand latency, and bias. Most companies forecast a single stream with a focus on error.

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Just Jump

Supply Chain Shaman

In my first classes, I taught the group how to speak the language of demand—forecastability, Forecast Value Added (FVA), backcasting, demand and market latency, and market drivers. The class discovers the current blackholes of the supply chain (direct procurement and contract manufacturing. Instead, we need to Jump. The So What?

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Thoughts. Selecting Supply Chain Software

Supply Chain Shaman

In 2012, when I started Supply Chain Insights , I believed that I could revolutionize the purchase of supply chain planning solutions by initiating a rating and review process across trading partners. Buying supply chain planning software is hard. How are people buying software? Here I share how to challenge the status quo.

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What is Supply Chain Decision Support? Are We Rearranging Deck Chairs on the Titanic?

Supply Chain Shaman

The essence of the question is resilience and the ability to forecast in a variable market reliably. This gets us to the question of what is the role of the forecast?` For most, forecasting is a conundrum full of potholes, politics, and bias. When he speaks of the supply chain, he means procurement. This is his world.

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Market Beat. Four Thumbs Down and One Thumb Up.

Supply Chain Shaman

Today, supply chain excellence matters more than ever. I forecast that this interest will grow and the market is going to become more confusing. Until there are clear answers, business leaders should avoid buying software from companies with deep investments by venture capitalists. Kinaxis Purchase of Rubikloud.