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In the fast-paced world of modern supplychains, traditional forecasting methods fall short. Probabilistic forecasting is revolutionizing demand forecasting, supply planning, and inventory optimization by significantly improving forecast accuracy and decision-making across distribution networks.
Machine learning (ML)a specialized field within artificial intelligence (AI)is revolutionizing demand planning and supplychain management. According to McKinsey , organizations implementing AI-driven demand forecasting solutions can reduce forecast errors by 30% to 50%.
I laugh when business leaders tell me that they are going to replace their current supplychain planning technologies with “AI.” Each supplychain planning technology at the end of 2024, went through disruption–change in CEO, business model shift, layoffs, re-platforming and acquisitions. The reason?
While Excel has long been a go-to for planners, the landscape has changed. Companies that embrace inventory optimization through modern tools are moving toward a high maturity supplychain model —and reaping the rewards. Let’s explore why relying on Excel could be costing you more than you realize. The result?
Today, in supplychain planning, this could not be further from reality. In May 2025, one in seven home-purchase agreements fell through resulting in the cancellation of 56,000 purchase contracts. Supplychain was defined in 1982 as interoperability between source, make and deliver. The reason?
When it comes to running a company, when things break down executives have traditionally said “we need to improve our forecasting!” Would better forecasting accuracy be a good thing? Unfortunately, most companies cannot, and will never be able to, consistently rely on highly accurate forecasts. Absolutely!
In follow-up qualitative interviews, one of the largest issues with organizational alignment was metric definition and a clear definition of supplychainexcellence. To manage continuous improvement, companies need a clear definition of excellence and organizational alignment to that goal. What Drives Value?
I find that most companies’ understanding of supplychain planning is immature, and that next week, at the Gartner SupplyChain Summit in Orlando, that many will don their Mickey ears to discuss what I consider outdated supplychain planning models. Buyingsupplychain planning software is hard.
Today, I speak at the North American Manufacturing Association, Manufacturing Leadership Conference, in Nashville on the use of data to improve supplychain resilience. Background The Council of SupplyChain Resilience met for the first time this month. What is supplychain resilience? The reason?
Supply management. Supplychain management. Supplychain planning. The essence of the question is resilience and the ability to forecast in a variable market reliably. This gets us to the question of what is the role of the forecast?` Are these terms the same? The answer is no. The trend is clear.
SupplyChain Planners Analogous to Secretarial Pools? In my forty years of studying supplychain planning, the groups became larger, but with questionable results. We sidestep vacuous terms like digital supplychain and attempt to measure and redefine flows based the redefinition of planning. The So What?
Customer Portal Partner Portal Contact John Galt Solutions Atlas AI-driven SaaS platform that connects and orchestrates your entire supplychain. The agency, responsible for tracking weather systems and issuing life-saving alerts, is struggling to staff its forecasting offices.
Let me start by saying that t he process is not a panacea to solve all supplychain ills. Clear operating strategy and definition of supplychainexcellence across plan, source, make and deliver. There is a clear definition of the role of the supplychain in the delivery of value. One SupplyChain.
In 2004, I worked with a Midwest North American meatpacker to help define its supplychain strategy. Consumers constantly change the mix preferences in purchases. Somedays, the focus is on steaks or ribs and the next on the purchase of ground or cubed meat. The organization is not clear on the role of the forecast.
Wikipedia Unleashing the Contrarian Here are my thoughts this morning over coffee: Gartner Top 25: Really A Celebration of SupplyChain Leadership? Designed to lift the profession and celebrate supplychain results, I struggle to find that the methodology supports either objective.
As a supplychain leader, he is struggling how to dance in the ring of fire. The ring of fire is corporate politics at the executive level on supplychain performance. Each executive has a different perspective on the definition of supplychainexcellence, but they are never discussed and aligned.
Demand forecasting plays a crucial role in business success, as it helps predict customer demand and plan inventory effectively. However, traditional forecasting methods often fall short in accuracy. Fortunately, with the advent of artificial intelligence (AI), demand forecasting software has undergone a significant transformation.
Autonomous SupplyChains In this competitive environment, a CPG manufacturer needs to fight to get space on retailer shelves in each region, keep those shelves stocked, compete and collaborate simultaneously with e-commerce, and maintain its operating margins. each with discrete plans generated typically in sequential batch runs.
The Covid-19 pandemic tested the global supplychain. Like riding a bumpy road, the supplychain leader is riding the ups and downs of changing market conditions facing greater variability day-to-day. Here, based on interviews with supplychain leaders, I share lessons learned. It will not be over soon.
The establishment of efficient global supplychains has become critical to competitiveness. From raw material procurement to final product sales, these supplychains’ ability to minimize inventory through product life cycle controls and facilitate prompt product supply is every bit as important as product differentiation strategies.
by John Westerveld Over the years, working for and with numerous manufacturing companies, I’ve seen many supplychain practices that cost companies money. Reason #3 Not having end-to-end supplychain visibility. Reason #4 Making key decisions by modelling the supplychain in Excel. That was carrots.
Few organizations are immune to the effects, which are acutely felt in supplychains — and the more complex they are, the greater the probability of interruptions. The study found that these leaders considered the largest gap to be between supplychain and procurement, citing it as a major issue. Collaboration is Key.
She wrote, “I have been working in the supplychain for 35 years, and we are still trying to solve the “demand” issue. Solving from a supply side seems to work for many companies I work with. Only 2% of companies are pushing forward in our SupplyChains to Admire analysis. I don’t know.
. <Bear with me… > Here I share a nine-step process in an attempt to help companies unravel the process for buyingsupplychain planning software. Let’s face a hard fact: the supplychain planning market is a mess. Most have purchased software, but are dependent on Excel spreadsheets.
“May you live in interesting times,” widely attributed as a Chinese curse, some claim this as a blessing; whichever side you take, this is exactly what’s happening in the supplychain world since 2020, and it looks like we will be living with this blessing/curse for a while longer. Emerging Themes for SupplyChain Planning.
With international commerce increasingly digitalized and customer requirements continuing to grow, the demands on supplychain professionals to create frictionless, responsive, and cost-effective operations have never been higher. Supercharge your supplychain career through the SCMDOJO SupplyChain Learning Track Certification!
Pirelli’s Business Model and SupplyChain Pirelli (PIRC.MI) is a consumer tire company headquartered in Milan, Italy. This is a complex supplychain. Demand forecasting is done in collaboration with OEM customers. Supplychain projects depend upon data. Pirelli had revenues of about €6.65
With approximately 95% of American households relying on products like recyclable aluminum foil, self-sealing wax, freezer paper, disposable bakeware, trash liners, and more, this organization strives for continuous improvement in their supplychain. But what are they really chasing?
Today, supplychainexcellence matters more than ever. During the pandemic, the supplychain discussions take new importance. While the supplychain technology market lost its allure at the start of the last decade, it is now cool again. The supplychain career is new. Reflection.
Supplychain efficiency is the cornerstone of success and involves the effective management of processes, resources, and technologies from procurement to production, transportation to warehousing. Healthcare providers are leveraging efficient supplychains to ensure critical supplies reach patients when needed most.
Nick Lynch is the Global Excellence Manager at Shell Lubricants, a division of Shell Global. Located in the United Kingdom (UK), he has more than twelve years of experience in progressive roles driving demand-drive projects for their global supplychain. Understanding the Lubricant SupplyChain. Overview of Shell.
Demand volatility and forecasting complexity The shift to cloud-based environments and the rise of XaaS models are significantly complicating demand forecasting. Inaccurate forecasts lead to either excess inventory or stockouts, causing increased costs, an abundance of stock that cannot be sold, lost sales and customer dissatisfaction.
GEON Performance Solutions purchases plastic pellets and add plastic compounders to make products of different strength, resilience, and flexibility. When companies want to digitally transform their supplychain capabilities, moving to an integrated business planning process (IBP) is often at the heart of the transformation.
Goodman titled “ The SupplyChain, Reconfigured.” ” His narrative centers on the evolution of the global supplychain evolving with a focus on labor arbitration ignoring geographic distance and shipping issues. Forecastability. Traditional supplychain practices are no longer best practices.
Forecasting projections is one of the toughest things to get right. Whether your brand is experiencing gradual sales or is in high-growth mode , we’ll walk you through some tips to improve your ability to forecast demand. Jump to section: What is demand forecasting? Jump to section: What is demand forecasting? Conclusion.
Think of it as the central nervous system of your operation, connecting everything from production planning and inventory control to supplychain management and financial reporting. SupplyChain Integration: Connect your suppliers with your production demands, creating a seamless flow of materials and information.
Waves of hype pass through supplychain narratives. and digital supplychains. and digital supplychains. A Closer Look at Digital For a decade, I have struggled to get a clear definition on the digital supplychain. Thought leaders push concepts. Tech companies rally. I don’t think so.
Supplychains are particularly vulnerable during recessions. Consequently, it is imperative to develop a recession-proof supplychain to make them more resilient and adaptable. A resilient supplychain is one that can absorb shocks and continue functioning with minimal disruption.
This trend spawned chains like Trader Joes, Walmart, Whole Foods, etc. Consumers want to shop anywhere, and buy in the way that they want to buy. The supplychain needs it. …there is not substitute for an accurate PI signal in supplychainexcellence. Get Good at Data Sharing.
The global supplychain that we know today is built on three assumptions: rational government policy, low variability, and availability of logistics. The impact varies by supplychain sector and value chain. The impact varies by supplychain sector and value chain. What to do?
Companies of all sizes have been capturing the value from Global SupplyChain to increase the economies of scale and scope for years. In this article, we will show you tips from worldwide experts that you can use to streamline your global supplychain operations. However, you may wonder what kind of practices really work.
My dad is the VP of our household’s grocery supplychain. Millions of shoppers, like my Dad, are not going back to their old habits because there are now faster and more convenient ways for buying daily household needs. It excels on a union of E-Commerce mobile apps and last-mile delivery innovations.
Like any SupplyChain, Retail SupplyChains have their own unique challenges. They’re different from the SupplyChains you might see in industrial companies or wholesaling companies. The retail supplychain is dealing with the consumer directly and the customer really is King.
Understanding how your Procurement and SupplyChain KPIs are performing isn’t just a nice-to-have; it’s essential for survival and growth. Why You Need Visibility of SupplyChain and Procurement KPIs? Running procurement and supplychain without metrics is like driving blindfolded.
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